Why Frontier Models Stay Spiky
Frontier models stay spiky because useful work is contextual and counterfactual paths are ungradable. Post-training quality is a grader problem, not a pretraining-size problem.
Frontier models stay spiky because useful work is contextual and counterfactual paths are ungradable. Post-training quality is a grader problem, not a pretraining-size problem.
The durable firm asset is not the model or the harness. It is the hill-climbing loop that turns a rented generalist into a company veteran you can keep.
Evals, provenance, and execution controls are merging into the agent runtime. The advantage is shifting from model quality to who owns the deployment surface.
Agent safety is shifting from a bolt-on audit layer into the runtime itself, and that quietly changes where the competitive moat sits.
Evals and security controls are being absorbed into the agent runtime. The moat is no longer model quality, it's control of the deployment surface.