•5 min read
The Three-Month Gap Is the Moat
DeepSeek's lag behind US frontier labs is being read as weakness. It is the opposite. The gap is the product.
DeepSeek's lag behind US frontier labs is being read as weakness. It is the opposite. The gap is the product.
Chip sanctions were enforceable at ports. API access has no port. The US State Department's April 2026 cable marks the moment policy admits it.
Anthropic leaked a 10T-parameter model above Opus. The AI frontier isn't converging, it's splitting into commodity and ultra-tier intelligence, and most architectures aren't built for that.
Meta reportedly delayed Avocado. Apple pushed Siri. Neither has a compute problem. Frontier AI capability is organizational, not computational, and it doesn't transfer from a hiring spree.